Turmoil in Tunisia

Stephen Lendman: Today, in Tunisia, the Maghreb, and across the region, public anger rages (mostly beneath the surface) over economic hardships, corruption, and repressive rule. Trying to placate it on January 13, Ben Ali told a national television audience he'd step down when his term ends in 2014.

It didn't help. On January 14, New York Times writer David Kirkpatrick headlined, "Tunisia Leader Flees and Prime Minister (Mohammed Ghannouchi) Claims Power," saying:

Ben Ali fled Friday night, "capitulating after a month of mounting protests calling for an end to his 23 years of authoritarian rule. The official Saudi Arabian news agency said he arrived in the country early Saturday."

A state of emergency was declared. A curfew was imposed. The army banned street gatherings of more than three people, saying violators would be shot.

Long associated with torture, Tunisia's interior ministry is reviled. It's believed there's one policeman for every 40 Tunisians, two-thirds in plain clothes operating covertly. Prior to Ben Ali's departure, police attacked street protesters violently with tear gas grenades, live fire, and beatings while some lay on the ground,

Shortly afterwards, state news said Ben Ali sacked his government, declared a state of emergency, saying new elections would be held in six months, and Prime Minister Mohammed Ghanouchi would form an interim government.

After Ben Ali fled, talk of new elections subsided, Ghannouchi saying he'd meet with other political parties on January 15, calling it a "decisive day."

A former finance minister and prime minister since 1999, he's a close Ben Ali ally who took over under a constitutional provision letting the second in command assume power if presidents can't fulfill their duties. Tunisia was never ruled democratically. Suggesting a people-friendly national unity government defies credibility, especially with hardline former regime officials in charge.

Major reforms are needed, what Ghannouchi, his cronies, and army commanders won't countenance so repressive rule will continue unless people power intervenes.

Washington and French pressure, in fact, forced Ben Ali out to prevent Tunisian protests from spreading. On January 14, Jordanian demonstrators held a "day of rage" against high food prices and unemployment, demanding Prime Minister Samir Rifai resign. Eruptions, killing five people, occurred in Algeria for the same reasons, and could explode anywhere in undemocratic Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Morocco, Qatar, Bahrain, Libya, UAE, Yemen, Oman, occupied Iraq, and Palestine under repressive Israeli rule.

Libya was struck against poor housing. Is Egypt next, repressively ruled for nearly 30 years by Hosni Mubarak? Outside Tunisia's Cairo embassy, protesters shouted, "Down, down with Hosni Mubarak!" "Ben Ali, you fraud! Mubarak, you fraud! Gadhaffi, you fraud!" Placards read, "Revolution in Tunis, tomorrow in Egypt." However, replacing despots with propertied elitists assures business as usual with new faces.

Business As Usual in Tunisia

Although Ghannouchi's power play failed, parliament speaker Fouad Mebazaa, another Ben Ali ally, replaced him. A curfew remains in force. Tunisia's army and police have full control to protect entrenched power from disruptive protests. The entire Tunis city center is sealed and guarded. Nothing's changed. Repression continues with softer rhetoric.

On January 17, Beirut-based London Independent journalist Robert Fisk headlined, "The Brutal truth about Tunisia: Bloodshed, tears, but no democracy. Bloody turmoil won't necessarily presage the dawn of democracy," saying:

Nonetheless, regional despots "are shaking in their boots (because) Tunisia wasn't meant to happen." Arabs used to say that two-thirds of the entire Tunisian population - seven million out of 10 million, virtually the whole adult population - worked in one way or another for Mr. Ben Ali's secret police. They must have been on the streets too, then, protesting at the man we loved until last week. But don't get too excited." Expect "safe hands" to rule, serving entrenched power, not popular interests.

The Arab League urged calm, and for "all political forces, representatives of Tunisian society and officials to stand together and unite to maintain the achievements of the Tunisian people and realize national peace."

According to Germany's Deutsche Welle:

"What happened in Tunisia is a historic event and a strong signal to the entire Arab world. It shows that populations can successfully rise against authoritarian and corrupt rulers, and that 'regime change' is possible on its own - without internal or external military intervention, even without leadership from opposition politicians or civilian players" All Tunisian figures, pro and con, "have a responsibility to initiate a transparent and orderly transfer of power."

Fisk, however, is right. Unless popular eruptions prevent it, regime hard-liners will continue old policies with more bloodshed and repression to follow. Make no mistake, however. Removing an Arab despot, no matter how achieved, was historic, showing doing it may be easier than imagined.

A Final Comment

On January 17, the Ghannouchi-announced National Unity Government took shape, including elitist factions against popular rule alone. Ben Ali's governing party, the Constitutional Democratic Rally (RDC) heads it. Key ministers keep their posts, including chamber of councillors president Abdallah Kallel, a former interior minister wanted by a Swiss court for human rights violations. Lesser officials also stay on. Ghannouchi remains prime minister. Change is rhetoric, not reality, democracy nowhere in sight.

On Tunis streets, demonstrators near RDC headquarters protested, shouting:

"With our blood and our soul, we are ready to sacrifice ourselves for the martyrs. Out with the RDC! Out with the party of the dictatorship!"

Police used tear gas and water cannons to disperse them. The military swore loyalty to the new government and gave police carte blanche authority to quell protests.

A January 16 US State Department press release said:

"Secretary Clinton called Tunisian Foreign Minister Kamel Morjane today to express support for the people of Tunisia as they and their government go through a period of significant transition."

Translation: Washington, like France, Britain, other Western countries and regional despots support power, not popular interests they disdain. Tunisia and other regional countries remain politically unstable as people power perhaps thinks the unthinkable - democratic revolutionary change. Why not with enough inspiration behind it!